Wednesday, April 30, 2008

Layton's NDP rocketing in Quebec: CROP poll

It was only days ago that the NDP soundly crested the 20 percent national hurdle, now another poll is showing monumental growth for the party in Quebec.

At 17 percent, Jack Layton’s NDP has registered an earth-shattering nine-point jump over 2006 (and stratospherically above the mere two percent the party got in 2000). The NDP now stands within 10 points of the Conservatives and a mere 3 of the Dion Liberals.

And while it’s totally premature to translate this into prospective seats, consider for a moment what a change in the Quebec electoral dynamic can actually turn into. Based on a deep desire for change in the province, the ADQ in the last provincial election rode a bewildering wave gaining 37 new seats with only a 12 percent increase in the popular vote.

When asked the following day, most ADQ voters said they had voted for change, not the rightist platform of Mario Dumont. Based on the CROP numbers, Layton's NDP, whose policies actually resonate centre-left Quebecers, could reasonably hope to do very well in the province.

Over to you, Elizabeth Thompson

“Not only does the NDP continue its inexorable rise in Quebec, it is now more popular than the Liberals among francophones … The one guy who's probably smiling this morning is Jack Layton. From the moment the Hudson, Quebec native became NDP leader he has quietly invested a lot of time, energy and resources in a province the party had written off for years.”

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