… first up, pollster Darrell Bricker who offers this analysis of all the leaders pros and cons today.
To Layton, who is running with both guns a-blazing against Stephen Harper, Bricker confirms that New Democrats are in the right place to pick up support from fromer Liberal voters in Quebec in this election.
In the last paragraph, he offers his free strategic advice:
So Layton should be in Montreal a lot, courting not only francophones but anglophones and allophones as well, he added.
And "he should be going after Liberal voters, not Stephen Harper."
Whaaaaa? In the last election people (mostly those in, or closely associated with the Red Team) boo-hooed because the NDP campaigned against the Liberals – the people who had just been in government. And now in this election, people are already saying “don’t go after the Conservatives -- the people who have just been in government!”
Ugh.
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Judging by the post you put up today, Layton's strategy appears to be doing okay. I agree Liberal support on the island of Montreal is rather soft. Liza Frulla was shunned from running in Martin's old riding, Garneau doesn't really impress in Westmount-Ville-Marie, the actor running in Outremont (where the voters expect serious candidates) is a newcomer to politics who can't compete with Mulcair. Justin Trudeau is a neophyte who will bring out the separatist voters in his mixed Papineau to keep Vivian Barbot's seat secure for the BQ (unless Ingrid Hein somehow pulls the upset of the year. (Full disclosure: I'm working for her campaign, as anyone who's visited my blog lately can tell). I didn't even see an NDP candidate listed for Papineau yet.
But all in all, there is definitely room for the Dippers to make inroads against the Liberals in this area, much like they already have in the GTO. The CPC is not really in the mix all that much in European-minded Montreal, and the BQ is having all kinds of problems - for them it will be a "save the furniture" exercise focused on the east end almost exclusively.
Good luck to all who might unseat the Cons, I say. Hopefully strategic voting - or some kind of coalition - can be employed to remove them from the seat of power in the next Parliament.
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