A NDP win in the Outremont by-election has been a dim prospect from the beginning. Though they share many of the same values overall, Quebecers have always greeted the party's overtures with a polite "non, merci."
Even in the face of this encouraging poll, New Democrats are still unconvinced of stealing only their second Quebec seat in history.
Strangely though, the Liberals seem quite convinced of it.
Liberals near the Outemont campaign are in a panic over the notion that they are on the cusp of losing a stronghold they have held almost without interruption since the second world war.
Stay tuned . . .